周四,Brant老師和Bruce老師一起給大家帶來美股富豪的直播。三大指數再開盤之後表現還行,只有納指稍微疲軟一點。但是納指以暴跌收尾。在近期,大家需要銘記在心的是,操作的資金量一定要比以前低。如果不知道低多少那就減掉一半。近期的行情也證明了減倉的重要性。
標普500上升趨勢線並沒有被跌破,但是納指已經跌破了。
之前Brant老師提到過,納指反彈到均線的中間點是一個需要重新選擇方向的位置,現在下跌,但是不代表以後就選擇了向下的方向。首先從技術層面上,這次的行情可能類似圖中的情況,如果再繼續往下跌那麼14800是一個支撐,從目前點位到14800還是有下跌空間的。但是到14800也就是200周期均線以後Brant老師認為市場應該還會創新高。之所以認為還能創新高,Brant老師表示是因為美聯儲之所以敢3次加息就是看到了經濟還是不錯的,因此有比較激進的長期看漲。
Bruce老師認為,NQ跌了2個點說明市場還是比較恐慌,實際上NQ距離200天均線也比較近了,現在去做空機會也不多了。長期來說,可以看到很明顯的箱體整理,周一往下破了一下。Bruce老師認為納指會很長期地在這個箱體裡面做整理。對標普來說,經過NQ長期的整理還是會走高。立足點在於鮑威爾也提到的失業率新低,工資也在走高,鮑威爾認為經濟特別好。短期內Bruce老師認為可以相信他,認為市場還是可以走高的,同時200天均線也可以提供支撐。此外這幾天很多機構正在大舉買入QQQ。
Brant老師有不同的意見,他認為既然短期大盤出現了走弱的跡象,同時抄底的跡象是不明顯的,那麼至少對於NVDA、MSFT的抄底跡象是不明顯的。而標普短線這個平台如果跌破,那麼不管鮑威爾對經濟預期再好都很難救回來。而能拯救美股的是業績,因為市場上漲有2個原因,一個是政策,一個是業績。現在技術形態已經很弱了,能拯救美股的只有業績了。比如NFLX是一個強勢跌破行情,連強力支撐的位置都不敢買入。但是UVXY也不好操作,因為UVXY的波動也不大。
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