鑽石舞台

We pull memories along causative lines, revising them involuntarily and unconsciously. We continuously renarrate past events in the light of what appears to make what we think of as logical sense after these events occur. （我們會沿着因果關係挪動記憶，不由自主地、無意識地修改它們。在這些事件發生後，我們會不斷地根據我們認為有道理的邏輯重新敘述過去的事件。）

If you work in a randomness-laden profession, as we see, you are likely to suffer burnout effects from that constant second-guessing of your past actions in terms of what played out subsequently. Keeping a diary is the least you can do in these circumstances. （正如我們所看到的，如果你在一個充滿隨機性的行業工作，你可能需要不斷地理解過去的行為，並判斷接下來要發生什麼，這會讓你筋疲力盡。在這種工作環境下，寫日記可能是最能緩解的手段之一了。）

—— 《黑天鵝（第六章 敘事謬誤）》，塔勒布